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Usually, any action
is chosen with several goals in view. Evaluating options can be improved
if all the goals are laid out. Even if there is only one primary goal,
it is useful to define it clearly.
A common pair of
competing goals is that of maximization of one thing, while minimizing
risk of losing something else. For example, subsistence farmers with little
or no back up resources may value minimizing the risk of crop failure
above maximizing yields, and thus prefer a drought tolerant but low-yielding
grain to a drought sensitive but high potential one. Risk is particularly
important in the context of probabilistic climate forecasts, since all
outcomes are possible, and only the likelihood of any one outcome is shifted.
When identifying your goals, be sure you consider what you are willing
to forego, as well as what you wish to gain.
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