Seed distribution in East Africa
Fine tuning crop seed distribution based on expected seasonal rainfall

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Principle 6: Decision
After mapping out the scenarios, and looking at the forecast probabilities for each climate outcome, Simon decides to go with the option to ship slightly more maize seed than usual and reduce the amount of sorghum he ships. The slightly enhanced possibility of above normal rainfall, and the farmers' likely response to the forecast all combine to make this seem like the best choice.